PDA

View Full Version : '09 NOAA Tropical Cyclone Activity


caonacl
05-18-2009, 07:55 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/overview_atl/atl_overview.gif

caonacl
05-28-2009, 07:13 PM
This could develop into the season's 1st TS if not a hurricane.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200901.html

CanadaSue
05-28-2009, 07:33 PM
Nope. Heading into cold waters & well away from land.

penguinzee
05-29-2009, 11:56 AM
Sorry, caonacl, this puppy will be gone in 12-24 hrs...

We now return to our pandemic programming... :lol:

Franc (penguinzee)

Renegade
06-06-2009, 07:38 PM
This projected loop does fairly well on predicting larger systems...

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/weather/model/displayMod.php?var=gfs_sfc_prcp&loop=1

Ought Six
06-06-2009, 08:13 PM
According to c, a low pressure area (not even a tropical depression) in the Atlantic was 'Katrina hitting the EU' (http://thisbluemarble.com/showthread.php?t=14637). Good luck trying to convince him that any little rainsquall is not actually the Ultimate Storm of Death about to kill millions. :lol:

caonacl
06-07-2009, 12:06 AM
This projected loop does fairly well on predicting larger systems...

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/weather/model/displayMod.php?var=gfs_sfc_prcp&loop=1

Last year we saw tropical storms develop less than four hour from landfall. That nearly occured near the end of May. These storms may be of lesser intensity when they make land-fall, but can be more damaging when if nobody is prepared. Last year, seems like I remember hearing about a hurricane forming on the commute home from work.
As has been the case the past several days the majority of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet. There are a few areas of showers and thunderstorms associated with weak tropical waves, although no development is anticipated into early next week.

The first wave is located near 50 west, south of 10 north, and continues to struggle to form any convection. Though this wave will be moving into somewhat warmer waters the next few days, the increasing shear due to strong westerly winds aloft farther west will be unfavorable for any development.

Another large, broad tropical wave is located around 62 west, south of 20 north. This wave continues to generate spotty thunderstorm activity that is now affecting the Lesser Antilles, however, it is located in an area of strong wind shear. Therefore, in the short term is not expected to develop any further. On the other hand, the wave will have the potential to develop further in a few days once it reaches the western Caribbean, where conditions will become more favorable.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Frank Strait

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/basin-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&basin=atlantic

penguinzee
06-26-2009, 08:04 PM
saw that one south of Cuba on the news tonight... will pay attention to this one, though I'm not going to freak over it...

Franc (penguinzee)

Twoolf
07-17-2009, 08:16 PM
ANYTHING that develops in the ITCZ bears watching

caonacl
08-09-2009, 11:25 AM
Re: Post above......it begins


Accuweather:
One last complex of thunderstorms has recently moved off the African coastline near 18 west and south of 16 north. There is a bit of a circulation noted with it and we will be monitoring it for possible slow development into early next week.

penguinzee
08-09-2009, 12:35 PM
All that storm will do (if it forms) is spin out in the Atlantic... other than ships at sea, no big deal...

Franc (penguinzee)

caonacl
08-14-2009, 05:59 PM
All that storm will do (if it forms) is spin out in the Atlantic... other than ships at sea, no big deal...

Franc (penguinzee)
it has indeed begun

Sysiphus
08-14-2009, 06:06 PM
All that storm will do (if it forms) is spin out in the Atlantic... other than ships at sea, no big deal...

A tad early to tell I think. Plenty of Cape Verde hurricanes have made it into the Carribean basis or Eastern Seaboard.

caonacl
08-14-2009, 06:25 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/overview_atl/atl_overview.gif
Looks like a train is forming (just like last year). If it does, no storm can be analyzed in a bubble.

caonacl
08-16-2009, 12:47 AM
Yikes!

penguinzee
08-16-2009, 10:08 AM
It has heated up a little bit, hasn't it?

Didn't expect Ana to get as far west as she has, but that's still a little speck of a storm-if it passed over my house right not, I'd doubt it's much more than a typical afternoon thunderstorm around here... could change though, as always...

Bill is looking like it's really getting its act together, we'll still have to see how this one will play out, since it's so far out there, but it bears watching all the same...

TD 4 sure sprang up in a hurry, didn't it? Woke up this AM to this news, it could make for a really rough night tonight (sorry Renegade) up in the panhandle.

What's funny is that the ocean is probably at it's warmest right now, we just needed a shift in the winds to really get things going... expect to see a couple more "pop-up" ts in the next couple weeks (though I don't particularly mind these kind of storms-it's the big ones that I fear).

What a difference a week makes...

Franc (penguinzee)

Ought Six
08-16-2009, 01:41 PM
I just saw on the idiot box that Claudette may linger over the warmer water before moving inland. The worst case would be only 60mph winds, so it will not be a hurricane. The big issue will be heavy rains through northwestern Florida, centered on Pensacola, moving up into Alamaba, northern Mississippi and western Tennessee.

================================================== ==========

Storm upgraded to tropical storm Claudette (http://blog.al.com/spotnews/2009/08/storm_upgraded_to_tropical_sto.html)


Kent Faulk
The Birmingham News
August 16, 2009


http://blog.al.com/spotnews/2009/08/large_143514W5_NL_sm.gif


A tropical depression moving towards Alabama has developed into a tropical storm named Claudette, according to the National Weather Service.

Claudette was about 75 miles to the south-southeast of Apalachicola, Fla., this morning and about 200 miles to the southeast of Pensacola, Fla.

A tropical storm warning was put into effect for portions of the western Florida Panhandle and Gulf coastal waters from Destin to Pascagoula, according to the weather service. And a tropical storm wind warning also was put into effect for portions of the western Florida Panhandle and interior southwestern Alabama.

caonacl
10-05-2009, 08:59 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/overview_atl/atl_overview.gif
It would be something if they start making it to the Gulf this late in the season

Sysiphus
10-05-2009, 09:31 PM
Still not that late for the Gulf. Water is still quite warm there.