Scientists Warn Cali Megaquake Coming

[Dietrich]

http://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/River-Diversions-could-lead-to-Megaquake-124595454.html
A massive 7.5 or larger quake may be the result when the southern San Andreas Fault finally jolts back to life, causing waves of enormous destruction in the Inland Empire and Los Angeles basin, a Scripps Institution of Oceanography study published Sunday said

[Ought Six]

L.A. is 90 miles away from the fault, and has very good building codes. I would not expect catastrophic damage there, but certainly it will be significant. I would think the worst thing would be the disruption of services. There are a lot of very old pipes underground in SoCal that would be destroyed.

The real damage would likely be in the 'Inland Empire', which is a massive area of suburbs much, much closer to the fault.

[gsgs]

"may be"


http://www.homefacts.com/earthquakes/California/Calaveras-County/San-Andreas.html

Probability of earthquakes within the next 50 years
Los Angeles
7.5 : 23.142%

[Antropologo]

But for the Inland Empire the chance goes up.

Riverside:
7.5: 35.488%

[that guy]

California has always had a quake coming. It has always had a brush fire coming. It has always had a mud slide coming. There are places in California where it is unreasonable to expect a house to outlive its mortgage.

[Mama Alanna]

Sounds like a case of "Thank you, Captain Obviousman!" :rolleyes: :eek3:

[Dietrich]

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Quakes/nc71603080.php

[Mousehound]

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Quakes/nc71603080.php

3.2 won't even wake Californians up from a nap.

[Dietrich]

3.2 won't even wake Californians up from a nap.
No. But a 3.2 on the San Andreas fault might herald an 8.2, and that'll wake em up.

[Mousehound]

No. But a 3.2 on the San Andreas fault might herald an 8.2, and that'll wake em up.

There are constantly quakes along that fault. They relieve the pressure. The big one has been predicted for years. Eventually, they have to be right about that.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Maps/US10/32.42.-125.-115.php

[Dietrich]

There are constantly quakes along that fault.
An M3.2 directly on the California part of the San Andreas fault line is not common.

[Mousehound]

An M3.2 directly on the California part of the San Andreas fault line is not common.

I asked around, and it seems that although small movement along the San Andreas fault is normal, this particular quake that you mentioned is unusual. I stand corrected.