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View Poll Results: probability estimate for a non-H1 pandemic in 2010 ?
0-10% 1 14.29%
10%-20% 1 14.29%
20%-30% 0 0%
30%-40% 3 42.86%
40%-50% 1 14.29%
50%-60% 0 0%
60%-70% 0 0%
70%-80% 0 0%
80%-90% 0 0%
90%-100% 1 14.29%
Voters: 7. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 12-28-2009, 01:54 PM   #1
gsgs
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Default pandemic in 2010 ?

what's your estimate of the probability that there will be a
non-H1 influenza pandemic in 2010 ?

reassortment with current mexflu does count, if a non-H1
HA is achieved, the other segments may be taken from mexflu.
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Old 12-28-2009, 01:56 PM   #2
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I say 1 in 20, i.e. 5%.
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