Debby

[Twoolf]

11:00 update shows in on the move, presumably NE to east by Friday. Tropical storm warnings all along west coast. Anyone south of appx the Suwanee will get worst storm surge, the rest can anticipate ANOTHER 10-15". Think I'll just drain the pool about a foot instead of doing it every 3-4 hours. Its not going to be a very fun work week.


000
WTNT34 KNHC 251451
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
1000 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2012

...DEBBY A LITTLE WEAKER AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE FLORIDA
COAST...WARNINGS ADJUSTED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 85.2W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO ENGLEWOOD HAS
BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM DESTIN TO ENGLEWOOD


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. DEBBY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TODAY.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

APALACHEE BAY TO WACCASASSA BAY...3 TO 5 FT
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF WACCASASSA BAY...1 TO 3 FT
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA...WITH A LOCAL MAXIMUM
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 15 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN

[Feather]

A friends mom is one of the places in Florida that is flooding. She looked out her front door and saw turtles floating by. I hope everyone here is safe.

[gsgs]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropica...m_Debby_(2012)

2 deaths , 20000 evacuated , no damage estimate yet
($500M ?)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NormalizedHurricane2008.pdf

13 TS in FL 1990-2005, average damage $200M
worst Gordon 1994 ($800M) , Alberto 1994 ($1B)

----------edit-------------------
$43M now , 2012.07.06

[gsgs]

ahh, damage was only $20M, how could I have been so wrong

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Debby_(2012)
Fatalities7 direct, 2 indirect
Damage$20.4 million (2012 USD)

[penguinzee]

gsgs,

Somehow I think that number is going to come up in the next couple weeks, I'm sure that in Pasco County, FL alone (where both flourbug and I live) there was more than $20 mil in damages...

Franc (penguinzee)

[Twoolf]

We should have actual numbers next week. Citrus CO.has asked that all estimates be submitted by Friday.