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Old 06-25-2010, 06:13 PM   #1
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Default Hurricane Alex

They are calling it a depression at the moment. Should be TS Alex by later this evening.

----------------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
600 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS FOUND A WELL-DEFINED
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF AROUND 1004
MB. BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT...ADVISORIES ARE BEING
INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE AT THIS TIME. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF WIND DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT AND SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS.

THE DEPRESSION IS VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AND
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION BEFORE IT
REACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN A DAY OR SO. AFTER WEAKENING OVER
LAND...THE CYCLONE COULD REGAIN SOME STRENGTH WHEN IT ENTERS THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE
TO THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL...WHICH INCLUDES THE EFFECTS OF
INTERACTION WITH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS RATHER UNCERTAIN BUT THE BEST ESTIMATE IS
300/09. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO FOR THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS...THEREFORE A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THAT TIME...WHICH
SHOULD BRING THE CYCLONE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. AFTER 72 HOURS THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE
DIVERGES...WITH ONE GROUP...INCLUDING THE HWRF AND GFDL...TAKING
THE SYSTEM ON A MORE NORTHERLY OR NORTHEASTERLY TRACK. A SECOND
GROUP OF GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE GFS...ECMWF AND NOGAPS KEEPS THE
SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THESE TWO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS REQUIRED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AT THIS TIME. IF THE CYCLONE MOVES SOUTH OF THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BELIZE MAY
BE REQUIRED LATER THIS EVENING.
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Last edited by Key; 06-29-2010 at 10:42 PM.
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Old 06-25-2010, 06:16 PM   #2
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...
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Old 06-25-2010, 06:56 PM   #3
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When they have THE senior met/forecaster, (Dr. Lixion Avilla) & another senior hurricane specialist, (Brennan), writing the forecasts on a TD - they're concerned.

Does Avilla not sleep? He's been writing the forecasts since this time yesterday.
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Old 06-25-2010, 08:17 PM   #4
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Here's an animated satalite map of the clouds and water vapor over the GOM. Though the storm seems to be moving west into Yucatan It also shows strong easterly winds over the central GOM area moving directly towards the western shore of Florida and her pristine sandy beaches .ie tar balls ?
(but I could be wrong)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html
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Old 06-25-2010, 09:14 PM   #5
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It's all about DeepWater Horizon, Sue... was reading elsewhere that they would need 5 Days to break everything down and get out of Dodge if even a TS threatened to hit there... 5 days can be the Lesser Antilles... it is a bit surprising that Avilla is writing these reports though... must be all hands on deck at NHC for the duration...

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Old 06-25-2010, 09:32 PM   #6
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http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-...25-712697.html

Quote:
Allen said the hurricane plan would go into effect about 120 hours before the advent of gale-force winds, which he described as 40 knots, which is about 46 miles per hour. The National Hurricane Center in Miami has set the minimum threshold for a tropical storm at 39 miles per hour.

A storm would disrupt the effort to contain the well for at least 14 days including time before and after the bad weather, Allen said. Several ships on site, including the vessels that are drilling relief wells to permanently kill the spill, would leave, and about 1,800 workers would be evacuated.
They pull that cap off the well and let it gush full force for a couple weeks. Lovely..
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Old 06-25-2010, 09:35 PM   #7
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Arrow

K:
Quote:
"They pull that cap off the well and let it gush full force for a couple weeks. Lovely."
The cap is off the well right now. They had problems with it after they accidentally rammed it with a robot submersible, and had to remove it.

http://www.examiner.com/x-55378-Bilo...arrier-islands
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Old 06-25-2010, 09:41 PM   #8
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The well cap was replaced Wed. evening.

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-...25-706597.html

Quote:
The increase in the collection rate can be attributed to the fact that BP had to shut down its operation on Wednesday because a underwater robot collided with a containment cap placed on the well. Late Wednesday, BP replaced the cap and restarted oil collection.
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Old 06-26-2010, 02:39 AM   #9
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Thanks for the info.
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* I have the right to live, thus I have the right to defend my life from attackers who would take it from me.
* I have the right to my private property, thus I have the right to defend my property from thieves who would take it from me.
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* The only usable tools for these tasks are guns, and thus I have the right to shoot anyone who would take my guns from me.
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Old 06-26-2010, 09:15 AM   #10
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Officially the first named Atlantic storm of the season...say hello to Alex.

"Hello, Alex. Now...die, Alex, DIE!"

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Old 06-27-2010, 12:21 AM   #11
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Yoiks



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Old 06-27-2010, 02:43 AM   #12
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goes towards Mexico

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../270233.shtml?

TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 13(33) 2(35)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
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Old 06-27-2010, 05:49 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gsgs View Post
goes towards Mexico

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../270233.shtml?

TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 13(33) 2(35)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
Maybe...but some of the forecast models are starting to trend north towards Texas again.

You can't ever turn your back on these storms.
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Old 06-27-2010, 10:40 PM   #14
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010

...ALEX REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 91.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GENERAL
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND ALEX COULD BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
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Old 06-28-2010, 10:24 AM   #15
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Most of the current models have moved to S. Texas or at least the Brownsville border. I expect the 'official' forecast coming soon will nudge a bit north from where it was.
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Old 06-28-2010, 10:59 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Key View Post
They have nudged it a bit north. Based on the models, they may have to nudge it a bit more later.

There is now a Hurricane Watch out for S. Texas.
--------------------------------------

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1500 UTC MON JUN 28 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF
BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
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Old 06-28-2010, 11:01 AM   #17
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WTNT41 KNHC 281445
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2010

ALTHOUGH THE CLOUD PATTERN OF ALEX HAS BECOME A LITTLE DISTORTED
THIS MORNING...THE CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FOUND PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL
WINDS OF 66 KT...SFMR VALUES OF 51 KT...AND A DECREASE IN PRESSURE
TO 989 MB. THUS THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED A BIT TO 50 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 330/5...TO THE RIGHT OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SEEN TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM MAY BE
CONTRIBUTING TO THE MORE POLEWARD MOTION BY CAUSING A WEAKENING OF
THE RIDGE OVER THE GULF COAST. THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LIFT OUT
OF THE AREA IN A DAY OR SO...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW RIDGING TO BUILD
BACK IN SLIGHTLY AND STEER ALEX MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. AFTER
THAT TIME...THE STRENGTH OF A RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS SHOULD
HELP DETERMINE WHETHER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CONTINUES A
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OR MAKES MORE OF A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH 48 HOURS...THEN HAS A BIT MORE SPREAD. THERE HAS BEEN A
SUBTLE SHIFT NORTHWARD WITH SOME OF THE 06Z GUIDANCE...AND THE NHC
FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED IN THAT DIRECTION.

SOME NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING ALEX...ALTHOUGH THIS
HAS NOT PREVENTED THE STORM FROM SLOWLY DEEPENING. THIS SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO ABATE BY TOMORROW AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PULLS OUT
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH COULD THEN ALLOW FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT
STRENGTHENING. THE STATISTICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MORE
INTENSIFICATION OF ALEX THAN THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE...WHICH SEEMS
REASONABLE GIVEN THE LIKELY ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THE NHC
FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE STATISTICAL MODELS AND THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/1500Z 20.3N 91.7W 50 KT
12HR VT 29/0000Z 21.1N 92.1W 55 KT
24HR VT 29/1200Z 22.3N 92.9W 65 KT
36HR VT 30/0000Z 23.5N 94.2W 75 KT
48HR VT 30/1200Z 24.3N 95.5W 85 KT
72HR VT 01/1200Z 25.5N 97.7W 80 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 02/1200Z 26.5N 99.5W 35 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 03/1200Z 27.5N 101.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
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Old 06-28-2010, 07:45 PM   #18
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Looks to me like it's reorganizing now big time.
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Old 06-28-2010, 10:27 PM   #19
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Yes, recon planes are in the storm right now. The pressure is dropping and the winds are increasing. It is drifting almost due north verrrry slowly.
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Old 06-28-2010, 10:59 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Key View Post
Hurricane Warnings now for parts of S. Texas.


---------------------------------

WTNT41 KNHC 290248
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2010

ALTHOUGH THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF ALEX CONTINUES TO BE A LITTLE
RAGGED-LOOKING...DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE
THAT THE STORM IS GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING. PEAK 925 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL
WINDS WERE 68 KT AND MAXIMUM SFMR-MEASURED WINDS WERE 53 KT.
AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOWED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
HAS DROPPED TO 985 MB...A RATHER LOW VALUE FOR A TROPICAL STORM.
BASED ON THE WIND MEASUREMENTS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 55
KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

CENTER FIXES FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
STORM HAS DRIFTED MOSTLY NORTHWARD OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/4. THIS MOTION IS BELIEVED TO
BE TEMPORARY BECAUSE THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE FORECASTING A MID-LEVEL
RIDGE TO BUILD TO THE NORTH OF ALEX OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WHICH SHOULD INDUCE A GRADUAL BEND OF THE TRACK TO THE LEFT.
THE TRACK MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SHIFTED ABOUT A HALF DEGREE TO THE
NORTH DUE TO THE RECENT NORTHWARD MOTION...AND THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD AS WELL. ONE SHOULD NOT
FOCUS ON THE EXACT LANDFALL POINT...HOWEVER...SINCE THE AVERAGE
TRACK FORECAST ERROR IN THE 48- TO 72-HOUR TIME FRAME IS 100-150
NAUTICAL MILES.

THE WESTERLY SHEAR THAT WAS AFFECTING ALEX HAS ABATED AND THE SHIPS
MODEL DIAGNOSES A FURTHER DECREASE IN SHEAR...TO BELOW 10 KT IN 24
HOURS. AS ALEX MOVES AWAY FROM THE SHELF WATERS NEAR THE NORTHWEST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN...IT SHOULD PASS OVER WARMER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO...ALTHOUGH THE
PROJECTED TRACK IS NOW A LITTLE TO THE NORTH OF A WARM EDDY OVER
THE SOUTHWEST GULF. IT IS STILL SOMEWHAT PUZZLING THAT THE GFDL
AND HWRF MODELS STILL DO NOT FORECAST ALEX TO BECOME A
HURRICANE...PARTICULARLY SINCE THE CYCLONE IS APPROACHING HURRICANE
STRENGTH AS WE SPEAK. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO
THE STATISTICAL LGEM GUIDANCE...AND IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS THE
PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST.

GIVEN THE LATEST 36-HR FORECAST POINT AND THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE FORECAST...IT IS TIME TO UPGRADE
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTH TEXAS
AND NORTHEAST MEXICAN COASTS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0300Z 21.0N 91.6W 55 KT
12HR VT 29/1200Z 22.2N 92.3W 65 KT
24HR VT 30/0000Z 23.6N 93.5W 70 KT
36HR VT 30/1200Z 24.5N 95.2W 75 KT
48HR VT 01/0000Z 25.2N 96.9W 80 KT
72HR VT 02/0000Z 25.7N 99.6W 45 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 03/0000Z 27.0N 102.0W 20 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN
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Old 06-28-2010, 11:41 PM   #21
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Kinda big for still being a Tropical Storm, don'tcha think?
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Old 06-29-2010, 09:49 PM   #22
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http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/story?se...ane&id=7520821

Obama declares state of emergency in Texas

MIAMI, FL -- President Barack Obama has declared a federal emergency exists in Texas as Tropical Storm Alex builds toward hurricane strength and approaches south Texas and northern Mexico.
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Old 06-29-2010, 10:39 PM   #23
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Now Hurricane Alex

---------------------

WTNT41 KNHC 300233
TCDAT1
HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

ALEX HAS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGES AND
DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A
CURRENT INTENSITY OF 65 KT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT PASSED THROUGH THE CENTER ON A NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST LEG AND MEASURED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 973 MB BY
DROPSONDE. THE SFMR ABOARD THE PLANE MEASURED A SURFACE WIND OF 62
KT JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOON THEREAFTER...THE
AIRCRAFT HAD TO DEPART THE AREA DUE TO RADAR FAILURE. BASED ON THE
SUBSTANTIAL DROP IN CENTRAL PRESSURE SINCE EARLIER TODAY AND THE
FACT THAT HIGHER SURFACE WINDS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT...ALEX IS BEING UPGRADED TO A 65-KT HURRICANE
FOR THIS ADVISORY. VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW 10
KT FOR THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS SO THE HURRICANE SHOULD REMAIN IN AN
ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR INTENSIFICATION UP TO LANDFALL. THE
SHIPS RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDEX SHOWS A 33 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF
RAPID INTENSIFICATION...I.E. A 30-KT INCREASE OVER 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...NONE OF THE OTHER NUMERICAL INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOWS ALEX
STRENGTHENING BEYOND CATEGORY ONE STATUS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY IS VERY CLOSE TO THE LGEM GUIDANCE AND ABOUT THE
SAME AS THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

ALEX WOBBLED WESTWARD OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. AFTER SOME
SMOOTHING...THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/8. SHORT-TERM
FORECASTS FROM DYNAMICAL MODELS SUCH AS THE GFDL AND GFS SUGGEST
THAT THE WESTWARD MOTION IS TEMPORARY AND THAT A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TRACK SHOULD RESUME SOON. THE FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-
TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE SHOULD STEER THE HURRICANE ON A GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD COURSE ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WITH
ALEX REACHING THE COAST IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. BECAUSE OF THE JOG TO
THE LEFT...THE NEW NHC FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO
THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. IT SHOULD BE REPEATED THAT ONE
SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT PREDICTED LANDFALL POINT BECAUSE OF
TRACK FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES...AND ALSO BECAUSE THIS IS A LARGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 30/0300Z 23.1N 94.8W 65 KT
12HR VT 30/1200Z 23.7N 96.0W 75 KT
24HR VT 01/0000Z 24.2N 97.6W 80 KT
36HR VT 01/1200Z 24.6N 99.2W 55 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 02/0000Z 24.5N 101.0W 30 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Old 06-29-2010, 10:46 PM   #24
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Tried to change the thread title to Hurricane Alex - it didn't seem to work
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Old 06-29-2010, 11:18 PM   #25
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Title edits seem to be locked out for us mere mortal users after a certain amount of time has passed. PM a mod, and they can likely change it for you.
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* I have the right to live, thus I have the right to defend my life from attackers who would take it from me.
* I have the right to my private property, thus I have the right to defend my property from thieves who would take it from me.
* I have the right to self-determination, thus I have the right to defend my liberty from tyrants who would take it from me.
* The only usable tools for these tasks are guns, and thus I have the right to shoot anyone who would take my guns from me.
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