View Single Post
Old 09-06-2011, 10:56 AM   #15
Khan of the Golden Horde
Exodia's Avatar
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Southeast PA
Posts: 11,364
Thanks: 2,669
Thanked 4,980 Times in 2,224 Posts

A continuing investigation, which is being jointly undertaken by the departments of Health and Agriculture, as well as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), has not yet uncovered how the illness was transmitted to the three individuals. However, no additional human infections with this virus have been identified to date.

Anyone who attended the Washington County Fair and has flu-like symptoms should contact their local health care provider or call 1-877-PA-HEALTH. Symptoms would be similar to that of seasonal influenza, and would include fever, lethargy (extreme tiredness), lack of appetite and coughing. Other influenza symptoms may include a runny nose, sore throat, eye irritation, nausea, vomiting and diarrhea.
As the incubation time "statute of limitiations" has more or less expired, we should see no "new" cases if there is no human - human transmission. We may see confirmation of older cases if samples can be collected, but if we see new infections at 2 weeks out, I'll raise an eyebrow a bit.

---------- Post added at 10:56 AM ---------- Previous post was at 10:54 AM ----------

Ninman's take:


Washington Fair trH3N2 Cluster Signals Human Transmission
Recombinomics Commentary 21:00
September 5, 2011

The Pennsylvania departments of Health and Agriculture today announced three cases of a novel influenza A virus have been identified, and are now linked to an agricultural fair in southwestern Pennsylvania.
The cases in Pennsylvania are similar to previous, rare human infections with swine-origin H3N2 viruses, but are unique in that they contain a genetic component of the H1N1 virus.

The above comments from a Pennsylvania Department of Health press release describe two additional confirmed trH3N2 cases at the Washington County Fair. Like the earlier case in Indiana, A/Indiana/08/2011, and the previously reported case from Schuykill County, PA, who attended the above fair, the two new cases had the H1N1 M gene segment, which is linked to aerosol spread in a guinea pig model of human influenza transmission.

These cases increase the Pennsylvania total of confirmed cases to five, including three 2011 cases with the M gene segment. The three confirmed cases represent the largest number of confirmed trH3N2 cases at a given location, and the investigation is still ongoing.

The press release does not clarify the severity of the infection in the two most recent cases, who may have been ill for nore than two weeks (the fair ended August 20). Hospitalization was not addressed in the press release, but the four cases with H1N1 M1 appear to be serious enough to warrant emergency department visits.

It is likely that these three cases represent unsubtypable trH3N2 which is not recognized by the human H3 serotyping reagents, suggesting existing immunity to seasonal H3N2 will provide limited protection.
Additional cases are under investigation, but this cluster strongly supports human to human transmission of a novel trH3N2 with a pandemic H1N1 M gene segment.

The unsubtypable cases will be more easily identified by state labs, and an explosion of confirmed cases is expected.

Release of the sequences from the first PA case is overdue.
"Now, mark my words. So long as we are a young and virtuous people, this instrument will bind us together in mutual interests, mutual welfare, and mutual happiness. But when we become old and corrupt, it will bind us no longer" - Alexander Hamilton about the US Constitution.
Exodia is offline   Reply With Quote